Difference between revisions of "F"

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(Calculation: Provision for Reinsurance)
(The Balance Sheet and Schedule F)
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: [https://www.battleacts6us.ca/pdf/Odomirok_Ch14_p110_table21.pdf <span style="color: white; font-size: 12px; background-color: green; border: solid; border-width: 2px; border-radius: 10px; border-color: green; padding: 1px 3px 1px 3px; margin: 0px;">'''''Balance Sheet'' &nbsp;&harr;&nbsp; ''Schedule F'''''</span>]
 
: [https://www.battleacts6us.ca/pdf/Odomirok_Ch14_p110_table21.pdf <span style="color: white; font-size: 12px; background-color: green; border: solid; border-width: 2px; border-radius: 10px; border-color: green; padding: 1px 3px 1px 3px; margin: 0px;">'''''Balance Sheet'' &nbsp;&harr;&nbsp; ''Schedule F'''''</span>]
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The most important term in the Schedule F chapter is ''provision for reinsurance'.
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:{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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| '''Question''': define the term <u>reinsurance provision</u> ''(denoted '''RP''' in Alice the Actuary's BattleActs notation!)''
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|}
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:* '''RP''' is a <u>minimum reserve</u> ''(calculated under SAP)'' that reflects estimated <u>uncollectible</u> reinsurance recoveries
  
 
====2018.Spring #9====
 
====2018.Spring #9====

Revision as of 16:27, 27 January 2019

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BattleTable

Based on past exams, the main things you need to know (in rough order of importance) are:

  • reinsurance provision calculation
  • Sched F solvency testing - strengths & weaknesses of using Schedule F for solvency testing
  • SAO reinsurance collectability amount versus Schedule F reinsurance provision
  • "Certified" category - benefits to insurers & reinsurers of this special category
reference part (a) part (b) part (c) part (d)
E (2018.Spring #9) define:
- reinsurer recoverable
define:
- reinsurer payable
define:
- reinsurer funds held
define:
- reinsurance provision
E (2017.Fall #14) balance sheet:
- restate to gross of re
Sched F solvency testing:
- strength/weakness
E (2017.Spring #14) reinsurance provision:
- calculate
"Certified" category:
- benefits
reinsurance provision:
- how to improve
E (2016.Fall #13) reinsurance provision:
- calculate
Sched F solvency testing:
- strength/weakness
E (2016.Spring #14) reinsurance provision:
- calculate
"Certified" category:
- benefits
E (2015.Spring #15) reinsurance provision:
- calculate
reinsurance provision:
- how to reduce
SAO reins. collectability:
- vs. Sched F provision
E (2013.Fall #16) SCENARIO:
- slow-paying reinsurer?
reinsurance provision:
- calculate
reinsurance provision:
- calculate (unauthorized re)
Sched F solvency testing:
- potential enhancments
E (2012.Fall #19) reinsurance provision:
- calculate
SAO reins. collectability:
- vs. Sched F provision
SAO reins. collectability:
- vs. Sched F provision
Sched F solvency testing:
- strength/weakness

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In Plain English!

Introduction

Schedule F is all about reinsurance. When I start a new chapter, I like to orient myself by sketching out the chapter contents. According to Odomirok, Schedule F has 8 parts. (Links to Schedule F example exhibits are provided below. Spend a few minutes looking at these exhibits. You'll become more familiar with them as we work through the calculations later in this wiki article.)


link

title/topic

information shown
Schedule F – Part 1 assumed reinsurance premiums, losses, commissions, collateral
Schedule F – Part 2 premium portfolio reinsurance premiums, losses, commissions, collateral
Schedule F – Part 3 ceded reinsurance premiums, losses, commissions, collateral
Schedule F – Part 4 ceded reinsurance (aging) paid loss recoverables by current, 1-29 days,...
Schedule F – Part 5 provision for unauthorized reinsurance reinsurance provision, recoverables, payables, collateral
Schedule F – Part 6 provision for overdue authorized reinsurance reinsurance provision, recoverables, payables, collateral
Schedule F – Part 7 provision for overdue reinsurance reinsurance provision, recoverables, payables, collateral
Schedule F - Part 8: n/a restatement of balance sheet (to identify net credit for reinsurance) no example is available for Part 8

Both Schedule P and Schedule F are important for actuaries. Schedule P shows actuarial triangles, which are central to an actuary's work in determining reserves. Schedule F is also crucial because an insurer's net reserves depend on the amount of reinsurance assumed and/or ceded. But it's also possible that Schedule F plays no role whatsoever. This would be the case if an insurer has no assumed or ceded reinsurance. That probably isn't likely, but it still feels like Schedule F is not as important as Schedule P. Indeed, the examiners seem to feel the same way because Schedule P is consistently more heavily tested than Schedule F.

Question: what general types of information are provided in the Schedule F exhibits (refers to column labels)
  • varies by exhibit (see table above)
Question: identify the groups or categories used in Schedule F, Part 1 (refers to row labels)
  • affiliated insurers
- U.S. intercompany pooling
- U.S. non-pool
- other (non U.S.)
  • other U.S. affiliated insurers
  • pools & associations
- mandatory pools
- voluntary pools
  • other non-U.S. insurers

The next quiz has roughly 15 facts that I pulled from Chapter 14 that you should probably know.

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The Balance Sheet and Schedule F

Let's now go a little deeper and see how the Balance Sheet maps to Schedule F.

assets (the asset side of the balance sheet has 1 line item from Schedule F)
line 16.1: amounts recoverable from reinsurers (from Schedule F, Part 3)
liabilities (the liability side of the balance sheet has 3 line items from Schedule F)
line   2: reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses (from Schedule F, Part 1)
line 13: funds held by company under reinsurance treaties (from Schedule F, Part 3)
line 16: provision for reinsurance (from Schedule F, Part 7)

There is a very nice table in Odomirok (page 110, table 21) that explains this and you should look at it now:

Balance Sheet  ↔  Schedule F

The most important term in the Schedule F chapter is provision for reinsurance'.

Question: define the term reinsurance provision (denoted RP in Alice the Actuary's BattleActs notation!)
  • RP is a minimum reserve (calculated under SAP) that reflects estimated uncollectible reinsurance recoveries

2018.Spring #9

Let's review an old exam question related to this mapping:

E (2018.Spring #9)

They ask you to define and classify the given financial statement quantities as either assets, liabilities, or income statement items. This is a very typical question from an accounting course and if you've had an accounting course, you'll probably find it easy. Here's how I think about it:

  • Money coming in (a receivable or recoverable) is good! A receivable is an asset.
  • Money going out (a payable) is bad! A payable is an liability.

If you've really drilled yourself on the practice template for Layout of Financial Statements from Odomirok.8-9-IS then you'll know how to classify each item. Each is a line item from financial statements as follows:

(i) amounts recoverable from insurers ==> asset - line 16.1
(ii) reinsurance payable on paid loss & LAE ==> liability - line 2 (also appears on Schedule F, Part 1, Column 6)
(iii) funds held under reinsurance treaties ==> liability - line 13 (also appears on Schedule F, Part 3, Column 19)
(iv) provision for reinsurance ==> liability - line 16 (also appears on Schedule F, Part 8)

Note that the examiner's report accepted an alternate answer for (iii), stating that this item is an asset but this the examiner's report is wrong. They are referring to the following similar-sounding balance sheet item:

  • Reinsurance: Funds held by or deposited with reinsured companies ==> asset - line 16.2

Also note that none was classified as an income statement item. (That was a red herring)

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Solvency Monitoring with Schedule F

There are several exam problems that discuss the strengths and weaknesses of using Schedule F to monitor the solvency of an insurer (see BattleTable above). Specifically, an insurer wants to assess the likelihood of collecting recoveries from the reinsurer. If the insurer cannot collect then there will be a negative impact on the insurer's surplus and this can impact insurer solvency. Overall however (and these are just my own thoughts) it seems that Schedule F provides only a narrow snapshot of the solvency position of an insurer. There are much more direct ways to monitor solvency than simply focusing on collectability of reinsurance recoveries, examples being the RBC ratio and IRIS ratios.

Anyway, the weaknesses of using Schedule F to monitor insurer solvency are discussed on the last page of chapter 14 in Odomirok. Let's dive right in as there's a pretty good chance a similar question will appear on future exams. We first need to introduce the term Reinsurance Provision (or Provision for Reinsurance) which we'll denote by RP

Question: define the term reinsurance provision (denoted RP in Alice the Actuary's BattleActs notation!)
  • RP is a minimum reserve (calculated under SAP) that reflects estimated uncollectible reinsurance recoveries
Question: identify strengths & weaknesses with using Schedule F as a monitoring tool
strengths:
  • RP is formulaic - easy to compare across years & companies
  • RP is formulaic - hard to manipulate because inputs are numbers from financial statements
  • RP accounts for reinsurer credit risk with penalties for unauthorized reinsurers (often this means foreign insurers)
  • RP accounts for reinsurer credit risk with penalties for slow-paying reinsurers
  • Schedule F shows impact to surplus if reinsurance contracts are canceled
weaknesses:
  • RP is formulaic - may mask management's better informed estimate of collectability risk
  • RP is formulaic - but no statistical basis for formula - may not represent true collectability risk
  • RP penalizes unauthorized reinsurers regardless of their financial strength
  • RP penalizes slow-paying reinsurers regardless of their financial strength and 20% slow-payer threshold is arbitrary
  • In General: Schedule F doesn't directly measure reinsurer's solvency which is the true source of uncollectability risk
  • In General: Schedule F doesn't measure the quality of an insurer's reinsurance management

There was a variation on the above question that appeared in 2013.Fall #16. If you understand the weaknesses listed above, you could probably come up with the answer without having memorized it.

Question: how can Schedule F be enhanced to improve its capacity to monitor reinsurer credit risk
disclose details of reinsurance arrangements (Schedule F doesn't measure quality of an insurer's reinsurance)
include management input of uncollectability risk (the formula may miss important risk factors)
include reinsurer ratings (Schedule F doesn't do this even though it is an important risk factor)
replace 20% slow-pay threshold with a sliding scale and consider reasons for slow-pay

Calculation: Provision for Reinsurance

You can see from the BattleTable that the provision for reinsurance is the most frequently asked question on Schedule F. Recall from earlier in this wiki article that (in BattleActs) we denote the provision for reinsurance (or Reinsurance Provision) as RP. And recall the definition:

  • RP is a minimum reserve (calculated under SAP) that reflects estimated uncollectible reinsurance recoveries

The first exam problem we'll look at is:

E (2017.Spring #14)

Alice the Actuary always likes to fire up Excel and solve the problem in her own way (using the examiner's report and the source reading for guidance). That way she really understands it. But one of my pet peeves with Odomirok, which is otherwise well-written, is that they don't use good notation. Being a mathematician myself, I've learned that good notation is half the battle.

Odommirok explains the formulas in words, but good notation encapsulates the concepts in a way that a wordy explanation just can't. Anyway, here is Alice's solution using my notation:

Schedule F - 2017.Spring #14

Once you're worked through the above problem, we'll take a look at a very similar problem:

E (2016.Fall #13)

The way you're given the information is different but it's basically the same as the previous problem. What Alice has done in the following is to fit the given information into the same format as the previous problem. Take a look:

Schedule F - 2016.Fall #13

Notice that in each of the 2 previous problems, the authorized reinsurer is not a slow-payer. In this next exam problem, the reinsurer is a slow-payer and the formula for the reinsurance provision is slightly different. Here's the problem:

E (2016.Spring #14)

And below is the solution. Note that we have again fit the given information into the format of the first problem in this section.

Schedule F - 2016.Spring #14

A final point that deserves mention (although you probably already noticed it yourself) is that the calculation of the reinsurance provision is different depending on whether the reinsurer is authorized or unauthorized.

Question: what is an unauthorized reinsurer
  • An unauthorized reinsurer is one that does business where it is not legally permitted to do so.
  • An example would be a reinsurer authorized to conduct business only in Maine selling reinsurance to an insurer in Texas.
  • From a legal perspective, the insurer in Texas has no reinsurance coverage. The likelihood of not collecting on reinsurance recoverables is much higher, therefore the provision for reinsurance is also much higher.

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Memorize:


Conceptual:


Calculational:

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